Justin Trudeau's Liberals won a decisive majority government,
capturing 184 seats. The Conservatives, who were seeking their fourth
consecutive mandate, will now form the Official Opposition. Find
detailed ridings results in our map, see where each party gained and lost support and view the demographic split by party and riding. A total of 88 women were sent to House, see how the vote splits by party. And, track the Liberals surge in the polls over the course of this 78-day campaign.
UPDATED: Oct. 20, 2015, 4:30 AM EST
LIB | CON | NDP | BQ | GRN |
184 seats |
99 seats |
44 seats |
10 seats |
1 seat |
54.4% | 29.2% | 13% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
Seats and popular vote
Liberals make staggering seat gains
Liberals
+150
Increase in seats since 2011 election
Conservatives
-67
Decrease in seats since 2011 election
NDP
-59
Decrease in seats since 2011 election
Bruce Anderson, one of CBC’s At Issue
panelists, called Justin Trudeau’s ascent to prime minister as a
“campaign for the ages.” Sure, Trudeau is the scion of a former PM. But
he defied great odds to win.
The Liberals started the campaign with a mere 37 seats in the House
of Commons and were polling in third place. But once the ballots were
all counted, the Liberals had taken 184 seats.Trudeau’s astounding success also highlights the reversals of fortune for both the Conservatives, who have governed since 2006, and the NDP, who were first in the polls going into this 11-week campaign.
Stephen Harper and the Conservatives won the 2011 election with 166 seats, while the NDP finished with 103 — and, for the first time, status as the Official Opposition. Four years later, the Conservatives have 67 fewer seats while the NDP have dropped 59.
One of the quirks of Canada’s
first-past-the-post electoral system is that a party can take the
majority of seats without winning a majority of votes. That was
certainly the case in 2011, when the Conservatives won 166 of 308 seats —
or 53.9 per cent — but only 39.6 per cent of the popular vote.
In terms of the ratios, the 2015 story is almost identical. Justin
Trudeau and the Liberals took 184 seats — 54.4 per cent of the new total
of 338 seats — with 39.5 per cent of the popular vote.Seats and popular vote: 2015
338 seats, 17,552,402 votes
CON
Seats
29% (99)
Votes
31.9% (5,597,565)
NDP
Seats
13% (44)
Votes
19.7% (3,460,288)
LIB
Seats
54% (184)
Votes
39.5% (6,928,514)
BQ
Seats
3% (10)
Votes
4.7% (818,652)
GRN
Seats
0% (1)
Votes
3.5% (605,637)
Riding demographics
Liberal appeal spans across income, age brackets
How did the vote break down by age, by income and marital
status? We've correlated the results of the 2011 Census and the National
Household Survey with the riding results to where each party shored up
support. National medians and averages are highlighted in the sections
below. Select the down arrow to see full charts that break the vote down
by party and province.
Household income is calculated by totaling the
earnings of all the members that reside in one home. The median is the
middle value, in which half of the families' incomes in the country are
higher and half are lower.
The unemployment rate is the number of unemployed people represented as a percentage of the labour force.
The value of dwellings is the dollar amount
the owner would expect if the dwelling were to be sold. The median is
the middle value, in which half of the values are higher and half are
lower.
The median age represents the middle value in which half of the people in the country are older and the other half are younger.
The percentage of the population (aged 15 and up) that is married or living with another person as a couple.
Source: Statistics Canada National Housing Survey (2011), Census Profile (2011)
Women in politics
More women MPs elected
A total of 88 women have been elected to the House of
Commons, up from the 76 who were sent to Parliament in the 2011
election. In total, the proportion of women MPs will be 26 per cent.
Green Party Leader Elizabeth May was re-elected in her riding. Read more
about the parliamentary gender gap.
CANADA
338 Seats
26% (88)
1428 Candidates
33.1% (472)
CON
99 Seats
17.2% (17)
338 Candidates
19.5% (66)
NDP
44 Seats
40.9% (18)
338 Candidates
43.2% (146)
LIB
184 Seats
27.1% (50)
338 Candidates
30.8% (104)
BQ
10 Seats
20% (2)
78 Candidates
28.2% (22)
Polling timeline
Support for Liberals surges at campaign close
The Duffy trial, the Syrian refugee crisis, the niqab ban,
“old-stock Canadians” – these are among the issues that defined a
closely watched and hard-fought 78-day campaign. CBC’s Poll Tracker
analyzed polls from across the country and monitored how the parties
gained or lost support. Scroll through the charted timeline and the
linked stories below to see how the issues influenced party support.
The NDP dipped in the polls following the French-language debate, when Mulcair accused Harper of using the niqab as “a weapon of massive distraction.” The Conservatives surpassed the NDP in October when they announced a plan to introduce a “barbaric cultural practices” hotline as well as the details of the Trans-Pacific Partnership deal. Meanwhile, the Liberals observed an uptick in support following Trudeau’s commanding performance in the foreign policy debate at the end of September.
By the end of the campaign, support for the Liberals surged to 37.2 per cent, ahead of the Conservatives’ 30.9 per cent and the NDP’s 21.7 per cent.
The NDP dipped in the polls following the French-language debate, when Mulcair accused Harper of using the niqab as “a weapon of massive distraction.” The Conservatives surpassed the NDP in October when they announced a plan to introduce a “barbaric cultural practices” hotline as well as the details of the Trans-Pacific Partnership deal. Meanwhile, the Liberals observed an uptick in support following Trudeau’s commanding performance in the foreign policy debate at the end of September.
By the end of the campaign, support for the Liberals surged to 37.2 per cent, ahead of the Conservatives’ 30.9 per cent and the NDP’s 21.7 per cent.