Cervantes

Hoy es el día más hermoso de nuestra vida, querido Sancho; los obstáculos más grandes, nuestras propias indecisiones; nuestro enemigo más fuerte, el miedo al poderoso y a nosotros mismos; la cosa más fácil, equivocarnos; la más destructiva, la mentira y el egoísmo; la peor derrota, el desaliento; los defectos más peligrosos, la soberbia y el rencor; las sensaciones más gratas, la buena conciencia, el esfuerzo para ser mejores sin ser perfectos, y sobretodo, la disposición para hacer el bien y combatir la injusticia dondequiera que esté.

MIGUEL DE CERVANTES
Don Quijote de la Mancha.

23 de enero de 2016

Strange Trades Are Happening in Global Markets

  • Five charts show how strange trading has gotten this year
  • Two dozen countries' companies now worth less than assets
Have the global financial markets lost their collective mind?
This week saw the value of Hong Kong’s benchmark stock market briefly dip below how much its member companies’ assets are worth. Foreign exchange traders are punishing currencies even in countries with improving economies, and Russia’s ruble has fallen so far that it’s a third more undervalued than the last time the country’s oil was as cheap as now.
And that’s not all, as shown by the below five charts.
While Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index recovered enough to be worth about the same as its members’ assets, the price-to-book ratios of about two dozen other country benchmarks are now below that threshold, compared with 15 five years ago.
Russia’s currency has taken one of the world’s biggest beatings so far this year. By one crude-but-fun measure, the ruble is almost always considered undervalued, but now it’s worse than usual.
Big Mac Purchasing Power Parity is based on a survey by The Economist that determines what a country’s exchange rate would have to be for the premier burger from McDonald’s there to cost the same as in the U.S. The measure gives an impression of how overvalued or undervalued a currency is.
U.S. stocks haven’t been immune to this month’s worldwide drubbing. Even with this week’s recovery in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, the fall since the year started ranks as one of the worst three weeks in recent decades. The result: Some members are worth less than businesses with no revenue, for example Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., one of the largest such companies in the Nasdaq Composite Index.
Now take a look at the global government bond market. The flight to the perceived safety of sovereign debt has driven up prices for these securities, pushing yields down to the point where more than ever are negative. That means investors buying those securities today would lose money if they held them until maturity.
Of course, nobody actually buys less-than-zero bonds with plans to hold on to them that long. But still.
Finally, there are the foreign-exchange markets. Look at how many developing-nation currencies are down year-to-date even as their economies are seen improving in 2016.

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