Cervantes

Hoy es el día más hermoso de nuestra vida, querido Sancho; los obstáculos más grandes, nuestras propias indecisiones; nuestro enemigo más fuerte, el miedo al poderoso y a nosotros mismos; la cosa más fácil, equivocarnos; la más destructiva, la mentira y el egoísmo; la peor derrota, el desaliento; los defectos más peligrosos, la soberbia y el rencor; las sensaciones más gratas, la buena conciencia, el esfuerzo para ser mejores sin ser perfectos, y sobretodo, la disposición para hacer el bien y combatir la injusticia dondequiera que esté.

MIGUEL DE CERVANTES
Don Quijote de la Mancha.

21 de noviembre de 2016

S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq, Russell 2000 Hit Record Highs as Oil Jumps


All four major U.S. equity benchmarks climbed to record highs as oil jumped on optimism OPEC will agree to cut output. The dollar halted its longest advance ever against the euro.
The S&P 500 Index, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Nasdaq Composite Index and the Russell 2000 Index rallied together to their all-time peaks for the first time since 1999. Oil surged as Iran signaled optimism that OPEC will agree to a supply-cut deal and Iraq said it will offer new proposals to help bolster unity before next week’s meeting in Vienna. The greenback’s decline versus the shared currency was its first in 11 days. Yields on two-year Treasury notes climbed to the highest level this year.
American stocks achieved the new milestone as companies ended a five-quarter profit slump and Donald Trump’s election fueled optimism that his plans to cut taxes and boost fiscal spending will benefit industries more geared toward economic growth. Acknowledging the strength in the economy, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said Thursday that the central bank is close to lifting interest rates.
“There’s optimism that it’s more likely that Trump is going to put us on an economic fast track versus Clinton,” said Terry Morris, manager director of equities at BB&T Institutional Investment Advisors in Wyomissing, Pennsylvania. “The election had something to do with this, and I also think there’s some short covering going on. People that were hedging the election had to rush to cover after the news, and I think generally the perception is the economy is starting to pick up as the Fed is likely to raise rates in December.”
Traders are now pricing in a 100 percent chance of a move next month, compared with a 68 percent probability in the beginning of November. If the Fed doesn’t act as expected, it may bring on more market turmoil, says Seven Investment Management’s Ben Kumar.
Stocks
The S&P 500 rose 0.8 percent to 2,198.18 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Average and the Nasdaq advanced more than 0.4 percent. The Russell 2000 of smaller companies rose for a 12th day in its longest rally since 2003.
“It’s a push on the upper end of the equity markets due to this renewed belief that there’s tax cuts and stimulus spending coming in 2017 and 2018,” said Chad Morganlander, a money manager at Stifel, Nicolaus & Co. in Florham Park, New Jersey, where he helps oversee about $172 billion. “The overall equity markets are taking a cue from that and they are trading on the belief that earnings will move higher as well as revenues in 2017.”
Chesapeake Energy Corp. and Murphy Oil Corp. paced gains in energy shares. Tyson Foods Inc. tumbled after posting earnings that missed estimates and appointing Tom Hayes to succeed Donnie Smith as chief executive officer.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index climbed 0.3 percent, reversing a slide of as much as 0.8 percent. Royal Dutch Shell Plc and Glencore Plc climbed more than 2 percent as commodities advanced. That marks a 10th day of the gauge alternating between intraday advances and losses, its longest streak since May 2013.
MSCI’s emerging-market gauge rose 0.5 percent, trimming their monthly slide.
Commodities
The Bloomberg Commodity Index, which measures returns on raw materials, advanced 2.2 percent.
Oil climbed to a three-week high. Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said it’s “highly probable” OPEC will reach a consensus at the talks, according to comments published by Shana news service. Iraq will offer plans to help reach an accord, Oil Minister Jabbar Al-Luaibi said. Discussions went well, Libyan OPEC Governor Mohamed Oun said as he left the group’s Vienna headquarters on Monday evening. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said the likelihood of an agreement meant the bank was bullish on oil in the short term.“Market players are positioning themselves for higher prices, and oil will be in the $50 to $55 range if there is a deal,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG in Zurich. “OPEC members are building a lot of expectations and taking too much exposure to let a deal fail.”
West Texas Intermediate for December delivery, which expired Monday, rose 3.9 percent to $47.49 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent for January settlement climbed 4.4 percent to $48.90 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.
Gold futures advanced from the lowest since February as the dollar declined, boosting demand for the metal as an alternative asset. Silver slipped, drawing closer to a bear market.
Currencies
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the currency against 10 major peers, fell 0.4 percent after a two-week surge.
The euro gained 0.4 percent to $1.0628, ending 10 days of losses that were its longest losing streak since its 1999 debut.
While Europe’s single currency was helped by news that Angela Merkel will run for a fourth term as German chancellor, the recovery may prove short-lived, according to Georgette Boele, a currency strategist at ABN Amro Bank NV in Amsterdam.
The euro’s rise is mainly “profit-taking after the large moves,” Boele said. “If U.S. data start to come in strong again this week, the dollar will likely resume its uptrend.”
South Africa’s rand led gains among major currencies as the country proposed labor law reforms a few days before a credit-rating review. The currencies of Colombia, Russia, Mexico and Brazil gained at least 0.9 percent.
Bonds
Yields on two-year notes, the coupon security that’s the most sensitive to Fed policy expectations, climbed to about 1.09 percent. The leap in yields shows investors anticipate that Trump and a Republican-led Congress may succeed in pushing through some of the real-estate magnate’s proposals, which include tax cuts and investing as much as $1 trillion in infrastructure investment.
A $26 billion two-year U.S. note auction drew a yield of 1.085 percent, the highest for a sale of the maturity since 2009. The bid-to-cover ratio, a gauge of demand, was 2.73, in line with the average at the last 10 sales. Indirect bidders, a class of investors that includes foreign central banks and mutual funds, bought 35.8 percent, compared with a 45.2 percent average in the prior 10 auctions.

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