Cervantes

Hoy es el día más hermoso de nuestra vida, querido Sancho; los obstáculos más grandes, nuestras propias indecisiones; nuestro enemigo más fuerte, el miedo al poderoso y a nosotros mismos; la cosa más fácil, equivocarnos; la más destructiva, la mentira y el egoísmo; la peor derrota, el desaliento; los defectos más peligrosos, la soberbia y el rencor; las sensaciones más gratas, la buena conciencia, el esfuerzo para ser mejores sin ser perfectos, y sobretodo, la disposición para hacer el bien y combatir la injusticia dondequiera que esté.

MIGUEL DE CERVANTES
Don Quijote de la Mancha.

24 de febrero de 2017

Trump Is on the Verge of His Own Bull Market

  • Dow futures have surged 20% since falling right after election
  • The streak of record closes is longest since January 1987 
     
    The Trump bump keeps getting huger.
    Consecutive gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average have left it at the doorstep of history, including a 20 percent surge in futures from the early hours of Nov. 9 that could be loosely framed as the president’s own bull market. The 120-year-old measure has set a record on 10 straight days -- the longest streak since the Ronald Reagan administration. Two more would tie it for the longest ever.
    How does the future look when stock prices jump this fast? There’s good and bad news. The last time it happened, in January 1987, the Dow dropped 11 percent over the next year as the market endured one of its worst crashes. The previous occurrence in March 1964 saw the index climb 9.3 percent over 12 months.
    The Dow’s continuing streak of all-time highs is the longest since it closed at a record 12 straight times in 1987. If the run got to 13, that would be the longest ever, according to Bloomberg data dating back to 1952. Records aside, the Dow’s streak of daily gains is also the longest in almost four years and would tie for the longest in 25 years with a jump Friday.

    To be sure, the contour of the rally has evolved since its first weeks, and not in an altogether good way. Energy stocks, one of the leading groups of the post-election surge, have faltered, down 2.5 percent this month. Small-cap shares thought to benefit most from Trump’s domestic growth agenda have also slowed, adding just 2.4 percent in February after surging 16 percent in the month following the vote.Investors are putting more money into equities. Traders have poured $45 billion into American stock ETFs and mutual funds in four months after yanking money in seven of the past nine years, data compiled by Investment Company Institute and Bloomberg show.
     

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