Declining birth rate threatened economic growth
China to Allow Two Children for All Couples: Xinhua
Originally envisioned as a way to prevent the nation's population from outstripping resources, the policy instead became something that threatened the nation's growth in the coming decades, and leaders partially loosened the rule in 2013.
Here are charts showing statistics and projections that may have pushed Communist Party leaders toward the change as they met in Beijing this week to hash out an economic framework for the next five years.
Declining birth rate
The number of babies has plummeted as a result of the policy and other changes in China, to 12.1 per 1,000 people in 2013, from a post-reform peak of 23.3 in 1987. That's below the U.S. rate of about 13, Malaysia's 18 and Vietnam's 16, according to the World Bank. The birth rate in Japan, whose demographic problems are well known, is eight per 1,000 people.
Shrinking pool of workers
The declining birth rate means that the nation will have a smaller and smaller population from which to draw workers. That can hold back economic growth and drive up wages too quickly, leading companies to move factories to lower-cost nations in Asia and elsewhere. The number of people ages 15 to 64 declined in 2014 for the first time in at least two decades, a drop of about 1.6 million, or 0.2 percent, to 1.004 billion.
Aging population
The demographic shift means an ever-growing proportion of the population will be older, limiting the size of the workforce, boosting health-care costs and putting bigger burdens on younger people to support them. The United Nations projects that the number of Chinese age 60 and older will more than double in the next 25 years to 431 million. In 2050, that group's share of the population will be 36.5 percent, up from 15.2 percent in 2015, the UN estimates.
